WLY - John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.2x
4.16$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
12.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.16, the base-case value is $67.41 per share. DDM cross-check: $20.52.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $20.52 (below our primary estimate by 70%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples