Westlake Corporation logo WLK - Westlake Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 8
HOLD 19
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $111.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $115.00
CONSENSUS: $111.00
UPSIDE: 44.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.4% below fair value
Current Price $77.08
Bear Case $89.86 16.6% upside ($89.86 - $77.08) / $77.08 = 16.6% $6.97 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $112.32 45.7% upside ($112.32 - $77.08) / $77.08 = 45.7% $6.97 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $134.79 74.9% upside ($134.79 - $77.08) / $77.08 = 74.9% $6.97 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.2x
6.97$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $111.00 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $112.32 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples