Westlake Corporation logo WLK - Westlake Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 19
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $103.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $127.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $96.00
CONSENSUS: $103.86
UPSIDE: 37.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.5% below fair value
Current Price $75.71
Bear Case $77.11 1.9% upside ($77.11 - $75.71) / $75.71 = 1.9% $5.95 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $96.39 27.3% upside ($96.39 - $75.71) / $75.71 = 27.3% $5.95 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $115.67 52.8% upside ($115.67 - $75.71) / $75.71 = 52.8% $5.95 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.2x
5.95$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.95, the base-case value is $96.39 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (32 analysts) $103.86
Analyst Range $85.00 – $127.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 7%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples