Westlake Corporation logo WLK - Westlake Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 18
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $118.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $88.00
MEDIAN: $121.00
CONSENSUS: $118.50
UPSIDE: 33.75%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.7% below fair value
Current Price $88.60
Bear Case $91.66 3.4% upside ($91.66 - $88.60) / $88.60 = 3.4% $6.97 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $114.57 29.3% upside ($114.57 - $88.60) / $88.60 = 29.3% $6.97 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $137.49 55.2% upside ($137.49 - $88.60) / $88.60 = 55.2% $6.97 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.2x
6.97$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $118.50 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $114.57 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples