AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Willis Lease Finance Corporation's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag WLFC as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Willis Lease Finance Corporation's fair value?

Fair value for WLFC is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value WLFC?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from WLFC's most recent reported fundamentals.

WLFC - Willis Lease Finance Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 36.2% below fair value

Current Price $221.01

Bear Case $277.06 25.4% upside ($277.06 - $221.01) / $221.01 = 25.4% $15.39 × 18x P/E

Fair Value $346.33 56.7% upside ($346.33 - $221.01) / $221.01 = 56.7% $15.39 × 22x P/E

Bull Case $415.60 88.0% upside ($415.60 - $221.01) / $221.01 = 88.0% $15.39 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

22.5x

Adjusted EPS

15.39$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $15.39, the base-case value is $346.33 per share.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples