Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. logo WH - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $97.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $108.00
LOW: $87.00
MEDIAN: $98.50
CONSENSUS: $97.50
UPSIDE: 18.31%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 49.2% above fair value
Current Price $82.41
Bear Case $44.19 46.4% downside ($44.19 - $82.41) / $82.41 = -46.4% $2.74 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $55.25 33.0% downside ($55.25 - $82.41) / $82.41 = -33.0% $2.74 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $66.30 19.6% downside ($66.30 - $82.41) / $82.41 = -19.6% $2.74 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.74$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 30.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $97.50 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $55.25 per share.

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $172.96 (above our primary estimate by 320%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $97.50 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples