WH - Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$97.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$108.00
LOW:
$80.00
MEDIAN:
$98.00
CONSENSUS:
$97.29
UPSIDE:
27.57%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.4$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.40, the base-case value is $51.00 per share. DDM cross-check: $83.28.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$97.29
Analyst Range
$80.00 – $108.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
48%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 38%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Dividend-based valuation: $83.28 (above our primary estimate by 63%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $97.29 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 48% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples