WFC - Wells Fargo & Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$99.13
DETAILS
HIGH:
$108.00
LOW:
$92.00
MEDIAN:
$99.00
CONSENSUS:
$99.13
UPSIDE:
18.65%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
14.2%
9.5%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (14.2%) vs. cost of equity (9.5%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.69x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 14.2% vs. 9.5% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.85x on $49.54 tangible book, implying $91.66 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (60 analysts)
$99.13
Analyst Range
$92.00 – $108.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly