Western Midstream Partners, LP logo WES - Western Midstream Partners, LP

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.83 DETAILS
HIGH: $55.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $47.50
CONSENSUS: $48.83
DOWNSIDE: 1.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 2.5% above fair value
Current Price $49.43
Bear Case $38.57 22.0% downside ($38.57 - $49.43) / $49.43 = -22.0% $3.00 × 13x P/E
Fair Value $48.21 2.5% downside ($48.21 - $49.43) / $49.43 = -2.5% $3.00 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $57.85 17.0% upside ($57.85 - $49.43) / $49.43 = 17.0% $3.00 × 19x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.1x
3.0$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.00, the base-case value is $48.21 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $48.83
Analyst Range $46.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Warnings

The company pays out 123% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples