The Wendy's Company logo WEN - The Wendy's Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 32
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $8.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $6.00
MEDIAN: $8.00
CONSENSUS: $8.00
UPSIDE: 2.43%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 62.7% below fair value
Current Price $7.81
Bear Case $17.52 124.3% upside ($17.52 - $7.81) / $7.81 = 124.3% $1.30 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $20.92 167.8% upside ($20.92 - $7.81) / $7.81 = 167.8% $1.30 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $24.32 211.4% upside ($24.32 - $7.81) / $7.81 = 211.4% $1.30 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
1.3$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $8.00 from 51 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $20.92 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 53%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Dividend-based valuation: $10.87 (below our primary estimate by 61%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $8.00 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 248% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples