WEN - The Wendy's Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$7.58
DETAILS
HIGH:
$12.00
LOW:
$5.50
MEDIAN:
$7.00
CONSENSUS:
$7.58
DOWNSIDE:
8.34%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
0.85$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
9.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.85, the base-case value is $18.27 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (51 analysts)
$7.58
Analyst Range
$5.50 – $12.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
141%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $7.58 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 141% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples