The Wendy's Company logo WEN - The Wendy's Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 13
HOLD 33
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.58 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $5.50
MEDIAN: $7.00
CONSENSUS: $7.58
DOWNSIDE: 8.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 54.7% below fair value
Current Price $8.27
Bear Case $15.30 85.0% upside ($15.30 - $8.27) / $8.27 = 85.0% $0.85 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $18.27 121.0% upside ($18.27 - $8.27) / $8.27 = 121.0% $0.85 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $21.25 157.0% upside ($21.25 - $8.27) / $8.27 = 157.0% $0.85 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
0.85$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.85, the base-case value is $18.27 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (51 analysts) $7.58
Analyst Range $5.50 – $12.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 141%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.58 (from 51 analysts). Our estimate is 141% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples