WEC - WEC Energy Group, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$115.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$127.00
LOW:
$106.50
MEDIAN:
$114.00
CONSENSUS:
$115.50
UPSIDE:
3.97%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
4.83$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.83, the base-case value is $77.28 per share. DDM cross-check: $162.55.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (35 analysts)
$115.50
Analyst Range
$106.50 – $127.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
33%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $162.55 (above our primary estimate by 110%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $115.50 (from 35 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples