WDFC - WD-40 Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$300.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$300.00
LOW:
$300.00
MEDIAN:
$300.00
CONSENSUS:
$300.00
UPSIDE:
44.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.5x
6.71$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
30.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $300.00 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $143.30 per share.
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $165.10 (above our primary estimate by 59%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $300.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples