WDC - Western Digital Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$647.58
DETAILS
HIGH:
$1,050.00
LOW:
$400.00
MEDIAN:
$605.00
CONSENSUS:
$647.58
UPSIDE:
40.17%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
24.28$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $24.28, the base-case value is $546.30 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (61 analysts)
$647.58
Analyst Range
$400.00 – $1050.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
16%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples