AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Walker & Dunlop, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag WD as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Walker & Dunlop, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for WD is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value WD?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from WD's most recent reported fundamentals.

WD - Walker & Dunlop, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $72.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate

Trading 39.6% below fair value

Current Price $49.89

Bear Case $66.04 32.4% upside ($66.04 - $49.89) / $49.89 = 32.4% $5.17 × 13x P/E

Fair Value $82.55 65.5% upside ($82.55 - $49.89) / $49.89 = 65.5% $5.17 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $99.06 98.6% upside ($99.06 - $49.89) / $49.89 = 98.6% $5.17 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

16.6x

Adjusted EPS

5.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $72.00 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $82.55 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 215%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 165% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples