Waste Connections, Inc. logo WCN - Waste Connections, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 25
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $205.58 DETAILS
HIGH: $218.00
LOW: $180.00
MEDIAN: $206.50
CONSENSUS: $205.58
UPSIDE: 32.03%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.6 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
D 38.9
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 5.8% 39/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.28 pp/yr 39/100
Contributes 9.7 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 62.8
  • 5yr Avg ROE 9.5% 58/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.5% 73/100
Contributes 9.4 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
A 88.7
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 11.5% 84/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 15.4% 89/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 22.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
A- 85.1
  • 5yr FCF Margin 14.4% 80/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.49x 91/100
Contributes 17.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
C+ 59.7
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 3.11x 48/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 5.34x 66/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.86 73/100
Contributes 6.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
B- 66.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.42 41/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 3.3 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed.

Holders
4
Avg Δ position
+158.3%
New buys
0
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.