WESCO International, Inc. logo WCC - WESCO International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 22
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $402.22 DETAILS
HIGH: $440.00
LOW: $375.00
MEDIAN: $400.00
CONSENSUS: $402.22
UPSIDE: 15.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 105.1% above fair value
Current Price $347.60
Bear Case $85.38 75.4% downside ($85.38 - $347.60) / $347.60 = -75.4% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $169.51 51.2% downside ($169.51 - $347.60) / $347.60 = -51.2% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $255.56 26.5% downside ($255.56 - $347.60) / $347.60 = -26.5% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 34.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 18.3% vs our 11.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $169.51 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (33 analysts) $402.22
Analyst Range $375.00 – $440.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 58%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $402.22 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 58% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions