WESCO International, Inc. logo WCC - WESCO International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 11
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $382.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $440.00
LOW: $316.00
MEDIAN: $375.00
CONSENSUS: $382.33
UPSIDE: 14.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 192.1% above fair value
Current Price $335.02
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $335.02) / $335.02 = -100.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $114.70 65.8% downside ($114.70 - $335.02) / $335.02 = -65.8% 10% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $32.20 90.4% downside ($32.20 - $335.02) / $335.02 = -90.4% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 62.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 26.4% vs our 9.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $382.33 from 33 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $114.70 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $382.33 (from 33 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions