WBD - Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$30.80
DETAILS
HIGH:
$31.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$31.00
CONSENSUS:
$30.80
UPSIDE:
15.18%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
3.0%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (3% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
28%
Implied Market Multiple
30.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
16.7%
vs our 3.0% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $30.80 from 32 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $11.29 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $30.80 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 90% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions