WAB - Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$326.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$355.00
LOW:
$291.00
MEDIAN:
$335.00
CONSENSUS:
$326.50
UPSIDE:
15.43%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
14.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (15% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
43%
Implied Market Multiple
32.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
15.6%
vs our 14.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 15% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $267.82 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (34 analysts)
$326.50
Analyst Range
$291.00 – $355.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
18%
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions