Verizon Communications Inc. logo VZ - Verizon Communications Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 1
BUY 22
HOLD 34
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $51.56 DETAILS
HIGH: $58.00
LOW: $44.00
MEDIAN: $52.00
CONSENSUS: $51.56
UPSIDE: 13.67%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.8% below fair value
Current Price $45.36
Bear Case $47.62 5.0% upside ($47.62 - $45.36) / $45.36 = 5.0% $4.25 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $59.53 31.2% upside ($59.53 - $45.36) / $45.36 = 31.2% $4.25 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $71.43 57.5% upside ($71.43 - $45.36) / $45.36 = 57.5% $4.25 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.25$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $51.56 from 60 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $59.53 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $45.67 (below our primary estimate by 28%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples