Verizon Communications Inc. logo VZ - Verizon Communications Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 22
HOLD 35
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.58 DETAILS
HIGH: $52.50
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $47.00
CONSENSUS: $48.58
UPSIDE: 1.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.5% below fair value
Current Price $47.83
Bear Case $48.72 1.9% upside ($48.72 - $47.83) / $47.83 = 1.9% $4.06 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $60.90 27.3% upside ($60.90 - $47.83) / $47.83 = 27.3% $4.06 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $73.08 52.8% upside ($73.08 - $47.83) / $47.83 = 52.8% $4.06 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
4.06$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.06, the base-case value is $60.90 per share. DDM cross-check: $46.18.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (61 analysts) $48.58
Analyst Range $46.00 – $52.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 25%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $46.18 (below our primary estimate by 24%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $48.58 (from 61 analysts). Our estimate is 25% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples