VZ - Verizon Communications Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$48.58
DETAILS
HIGH:
$52.50
LOW:
$46.00
MEDIAN:
$47.00
CONSENSUS:
$48.58
UPSIDE:
1.57%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
4.06$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
11.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.06, the base-case value is $60.90 per share. DDM cross-check: $46.18.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (61 analysts)
$48.58
Analyst Range
$46.00 – $52.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
25%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $46.18 (below our primary estimate by 24%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $48.58 (from 61 analysts). Our estimate is 25% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples