NCR Voyix Corporation logo VYX - NCR Voyix Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $11.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $9.00
MEDIAN: $11.50
CONSENSUS: $11.50
UPSIDE: 25.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.8% below fair value
Current Price $9.18
Bear Case $8.33 9.3% downside ($8.33 - $9.18) / $9.18 = -9.3% $0.69 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $10.41 13.4% upside ($10.41 - $9.18) / $9.18 = 13.4% $0.69 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $12.49 36.1% upside ($12.49 - $9.18) / $9.18 = 36.1% $0.69 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.69$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.69, the base-case value is $10.41 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $11.50
Analyst Range $9.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 9%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 131%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples