V2X, Inc. logo VVX - V2X, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $88.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $102.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $87.50
CONSENSUS: $88.00
UPSIDE: 18.63%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 41.3% below fair value
Current Price $74.18
Bear Case $88.63 19.5% upside ($88.63 - $74.18) / $74.18 = 19.5% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $126.40 70.4% upside ($126.40 - $74.18) / $74.18 = 70.4% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $163.13 119.9% upside ($163.13 - $74.18) / $74.18 = 119.9% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 13.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.9% vs our 9.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $126.40 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $88.00
Analyst Range $75.00 – $102.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 44%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $88.00 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 44% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions