V2X, Inc. logo VVX - V2X, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 8
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $82.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $94.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $79.50
CONSENSUS: $82.00
UPSIDE: 1.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 0.6% above fair value
Current Price $81.00
Bear Case $54.86 32.3% downside ($54.86 - $81.00) / $81.00 = -32.3% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $80.51 0.6% downside ($80.51 - $81.00) / $81.00 = -0.6% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $105.27 30.0% upside ($105.27 - $81.00) / $81.00 = 30.0% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 20.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.5% vs our 9.3% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $82.00 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $80.51 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions