V2X, Inc. logo VVX - V2X, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $88.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $102.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $87.50
CONSENSUS: $88.00
UPSIDE: 23.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.8% below fair value
Current Price $71.02
Bear Case $88.54 24.7% upside ($88.54 - $71.02) / $71.02 = 24.7% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $126.26 77.8% upside ($126.26 - $71.02) / $71.02 = 77.8% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $162.95 129.4% upside ($162.95 - $71.02) / $71.02 = 129.4% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 13.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.5% vs our 9.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $126.26 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (20 analysts) $88.00
Analyst Range $75.00 – $102.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 43%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $88.00 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 43% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions