V2X, Inc. logo VVX - V2X, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 7
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $78.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $94.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $79.00
CONSENSUS: $78.60
UPSIDE: 5.16%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 6.2% below fair value
Current Price $74.75
Bear Case $54.28 27.4% downside ($54.28 - $74.75) / $74.75 = -27.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $79.66 6.6% upside ($79.66 - $74.75) / $74.75 = 6.6% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $104.16 39.4% upside ($104.16 - $74.75) / $74.75 = 39.4% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 19.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $78.60 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $79.66 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions