Victoria's Secret & Company logo VSXY - Victoria's Secret & Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $86.80 DETAILS
HIGH: $101.00
LOW: $73.00
MEDIAN: $90.00
CONSENSUS: $86.80
DOWNSIDE: 3.53%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 210.8% above fair value
Current Price $89.98
Bear Case $23.16 74.3% downside ($23.16 - $89.98) / $89.98 = -74.3% $1.93 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $28.95 67.8% downside ($28.95 - $89.98) / $89.98 = -67.8% $1.93 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $34.74 61.4% downside ($34.74 - $89.98) / $89.98 = -61.4% $1.93 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 46.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.93, the base-case value is $28.95 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $86.80
Analyst Range $73.00 – $101.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 67%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $86.80 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 67% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples