Vestis Corporation logo VSTS - Vestis Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 3
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $7.50
MEDIAN: $10.75
CONSENSUS: $10.75
DOWNSIDE: 22.61%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 12.5% above fair value
Current Price $13.89
Bear Case $9.88 28.9% downside ($9.88 - $13.89) / $13.89 = -28.9% $0.85 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $12.35 11.1% downside ($12.35 - $13.89) / $13.89 = -11.1% $0.85 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $14.82 6.7% upside ($14.82 - $13.89) / $13.89 = 6.7% $0.85 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.85$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $10.75 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.35 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples