Versant Media Group, Inc. Class A logo VSNT - Versant Media Group, Inc. Class A

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
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| PRICE TARGET: $46.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $52.00
LOW: $42.00
MEDIAN: $46.00
CONSENSUS: $46.67
UPSIDE: 32.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Distressed or Transitioning 75% confidence

Primary model: Current FCF × Depressed Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.0% below fair value
Current Price $35.30
Bear Case $45.88 30.0% upside ($45.88 - $35.30) / $35.30 = 30.0% FCF continues to decline, 4x multiple
Fair Value $72.10 104.2% upside ($72.10 - $35.30) / $35.30 = 104.2% Current FCF stabilizes, 6x multiple
Bull Case $98.32 178.5% upside ($98.32 - $35.30) / $35.30 = 178.5% Credible recovery, multiple re-rates to 8x

Adjust Assumptions

6.0x

Key Value Driver

Whether the core business model is intact or structurally impaired

Implied Market Multiple 3.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Stock is 40% below 52-week high. Using current FCF at a 6x depressed multiple, base-case value is $72.10. Wide scenario range: $45.88–$98.32.

Warnings

Don't assume past cash flow levels will return — the company's troubles may have permanently reduced its ability to generate profits.
A stock can look cheap on paper and still lose half its value if the underlying business is permanently damaged.
The wide range between our best and worst cases is intentional — pretending to know a precise value for a troubled company would be misleading.

Key Risks

  • Bullish DCF projections are fundamentally unknowable for distressed companies
  • M&A speculation can floor the stock above intrinsic value temporarily
  • Management credibility is a key input — new CEO expands the bull case