Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. logo VSH - Vishay Intertechnology, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $42.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $45.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $42.50
CONSENSUS: $42.50
UPSIDE: 39.66%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 7.2% below fair value
Current Price $30.43
Bear Case $24.60 19.2% downside ($24.60 - $30.43) / $30.43 = -19.2% $2.05 × 12x
Fair Value $32.80 7.8% upside ($32.80 - $30.43) / $30.43 = 7.8% $2.05 × 16x
Bull Case $41.00 34.7% upside ($41.00 - $30.43) / $30.43 = 34.7% $2.05 × 20x

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
2.05$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($2.05)

Implied Market Multiple 14.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $2.05 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $32.80 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 2.4x.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (10 analysts) $42.50
Analyst Range $40.00 – $45.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 23%

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 2.4x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
This stock is 56% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing