Victoria's Secret & Co. logo VSCO - Victoria's Secret & Co.

Inactive Ticker VSCO is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $57.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $58.00
LOW: $56.00
MEDIAN: $57.00
CONSENSUS: $57.00
DOWNSIDE: 37.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 216.1% above fair value
Current Price $91.51
Bear Case $23.16 74.7% downside ($23.16 - $91.51) / $91.51 = -74.7% $1.93 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $28.95 68.4% downside ($28.95 - $91.51) / $91.51 = -68.4% $1.93 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $34.74 62.0% downside ($34.74 - $91.51) / $91.51 = -62.0% $1.93 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 47.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.93, the base-case value is $28.95 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $57.00
Analyst Range $56.00 – $58.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 49%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $57.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 49% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples