Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. logo VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 5
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $145.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $130.00
MEDIAN: $135.00
CONSENSUS: $145.00
DOWNSIDE: 13.90%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.4% below fair value
Current Price $168.40
Bear Case $322.32 91.4% upside ($322.32 - $168.40) / $168.40 = 91.4% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.10x TBV
Fair Value $460.46 173.4% upside ($460.46 - $168.40) / $168.40 = 173.4% ROTCE 25.0% → 2.76x TBV
Bull Case $598.60 255.5% upside ($598.60 - $168.40) / $168.40 = 255.5% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.41x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

66.0%
11.6%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (66.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.6%)

Implied Market Multiple 5.37x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 66.0% vs. 11.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.76x on $31.36 tangible book, implying $460.46 per share. DDM cross-check: $482.96.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $145.00
Analyst Range $130.00 – $170.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 218%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $145.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 218% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly