Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. logo VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 5
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $135.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $112.00
MEDIAN: $125.00
CONSENSUS: $135.67
DOWNSIDE: 6.05%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.5% below fair value
Current Price $144.40
Bear Case $276.85 91.7% upside ($276.85 - $144.40) / $144.40 = 91.7% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.02x TBV
Fair Value $395.50 173.9% upside ($395.50 - $144.40) / $144.40 = 173.9% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $514.15 256.1% upside ($514.15 - $144.40) / $144.40 = 256.1% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.29x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

66.0%
11.9%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (66.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.9%)

Implied Market Multiple 4.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $135.67 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $395.50 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $135.67 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 239% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly