Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. logo VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 5
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $141.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $170.00
LOW: $120.00
MEDIAN: $135.00
CONSENSUS: $141.67
UPSIDE: 7.66%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 71.4% below fair value
Current Price $131.59
Bear Case $322.32 144.9% upside ($322.32 - $131.59) / $131.59 = 144.9% ROTCE 20.0% → 2.01x TBV
Fair Value $460.46 249.9% upside ($460.46 - $131.59) / $131.59 = 249.9% ROTCE 25.0% → 2.64x TBV
Bull Case $598.60 354.9% upside ($598.60 - $131.59) / $131.59 = 354.9% ROTCE 30.0% → 3.27x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

66.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (66.0%) vs. cost of equity (12.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 4.2x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 66.0% vs. 12.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.64x on $31.36 tangible book, implying $460.46 per share. DDM cross-check: $417.80.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $141.67
Analyst Range $120.00 – $170.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 225%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $141.67 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 225% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly