VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$145.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$170.00
LOW:
$130.00
MEDIAN:
$135.00
CONSENSUS:
$145.00
DOWNSIDE:
13.90%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
66.0%
11.6%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (66.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.6%)
Implied Market Multiple
5.37x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 66.0% vs. 11.6% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.76x on $31.36 tangible book, implying $460.46 per share. DDM cross-check: $482.96.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$145.00
Analyst Range
$130.00 – $170.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
218%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $145.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 218% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly