VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$135.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$170.00
LOW:
$112.00
MEDIAN:
$125.00
CONSENSUS:
$135.67
DOWNSIDE:
6.05%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
66.0%
11.9%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (66.0%) vs. cost of equity (11.9%)
Implied Market Multiple
4.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $135.67 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $395.50 per share.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $135.67 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 239% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly