Vertiv Holdings Co logo VRT - Vertiv Holdings Co

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 1
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $364.94 DETAILS
HIGH: $500.00
LOW: $320.00
MEDIAN: $360.00
CONSENSUS: $364.94
UPSIDE: 83.87%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 15.5% above fair value
Current Price $198.48
Bear Case $98.27 50.5% downside ($98.27 - $198.48) / $198.48 = -50.5% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $171.85 13.4% downside ($171.85 - $198.48) / $198.48 = -13.4% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $260.59 31.3% upside ($260.59 - $198.48) / $198.48 = 31.3% 24% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 40.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 20.5% vs our 18.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 19% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $171.85 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $364.94
Analyst Range $320.00 – $500.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 53%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $364.94 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 53% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions