Vertiv Holdings Co logo VRT - Vertiv Holdings Co

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $371.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $500.00
LOW: $277.00
MEDIAN: $354.00
CONSENSUS: $371.67
UPSIDE: 13.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 50.4% above fair value
Current Price $327.46
Bear Case $124.15 62.1% downside ($124.15 - $327.46) / $327.46 = -62.1% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $217.67 33.5% downside ($217.67 - $327.46) / $327.46 = -33.5% 19% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $330.45 0.9% upside ($330.45 - $327.46) / $327.46 = 0.9% 24% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

18.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (19% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 68.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $371.67 from 19 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $217.67 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $371.67 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 55% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions