VeriSign, Inc. logo VRSN - VeriSign, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $348.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $355.00
LOW: $341.00
MEDIAN: $348.00
CONSENSUS: $348.00
UPSIDE: 14.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 60.5% above fair value
Current Price $304.09
Bear Case $158.58 47.9% downside ($158.58 - $304.09) / $304.09 = -47.9% $8.81 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $189.42 37.7% downside ($189.42 - $304.09) / $304.09 = -37.7% $8.81 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $220.25 27.6% downside ($220.25 - $304.09) / $304.09 = -27.6% $8.81 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
8.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 34.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.81, the base-case value is $189.42 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $348.00
Analyst Range $341.00 – $355.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 46%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $348.00 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples