VeriSign, Inc. logo VRSN - VeriSign, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $355.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $355.00
LOW: $355.00
MEDIAN: $355.00
CONSENSUS: $355.00
UPSIDE: 32.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 19.7% above fair value
Current Price $268.85
Bear Case $188.08 30.0% downside ($188.08 - $268.85) / $268.85 = -30.0% $8.93 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $224.66 16.4% downside ($224.66 - $268.85) / $268.85 = -16.4% $8.93 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $261.22 2.8% downside ($261.22 - $268.85) / $268.85 = -2.8% $8.93 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
8.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 30.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $355.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $224.66 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $355.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples