VeriSign, Inc. logo VRSN - VeriSign, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $339.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $355.00
LOW: $324.00
MEDIAN: $339.50
CONSENSUS: $339.50
UPSIDE: 16.30%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 54.1% above fair value
Current Price $291.93
Bear Case $158.58 45.7% downside ($158.58 - $291.93) / $291.93 = -45.7% $8.81 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $189.42 35.1% downside ($189.42 - $291.93) / $291.93 = -35.1% $8.81 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $220.25 24.6% downside ($220.25 - $291.93) / $291.93 = -24.6% $8.81 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
8.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 33.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $8.81, the base-case value is $189.42 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $339.50
Analyst Range $324.00 – $355.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 44%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $339.50 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 44% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples