VRSK - Verisk Analytics, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$225.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$247.00
LOW:
$185.00
MEDIAN:
$231.50
CONSENSUS:
$225.50
UPSIDE:
21.37%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.5x
6.49$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
28.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.49, the base-case value is $139.53 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (25 analysts)
$225.50
Analyst Range
$185.00 – $247.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
38%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $225.50 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 38% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples