VREX - Varex Imaging Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$14.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$14.50
LOW:
$14.50
MEDIAN:
$14.50
CONSENSUS:
$14.50
DOWNSIDE:
21.49%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.43$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
43.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.43, the base-case value is $6.45 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$14.50
Analyst Range
$14.50 – $14.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
56%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $14.50 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples