Veris Residential, Inc. logo VRE - Veris Residential, Inc.

Inactive Ticker VRE is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.00
DOWNSIDE: 26.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 39.8% below fair value
Current Price $18.99
Bear Case $26.58 40.0% upside ($26.58 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 40.0% $1.72 FFO × 21x
Fair Value $31.55 66.1% upside ($31.55 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 66.1% $1.72 FFO × 25x
Bull Case $36.51 92.3% upside ($36.51 - $18.99) / $18.99 = 92.3% $1.72 FFO × 29x

Adjust Assumptions

24.7x
1.72$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($1.72) × residential P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 11.0x

Plain-Language Summary

At $1.72 FFO/share with a 25x residential REIT multiple, the base-case value is $31.55 per share. Dividend yield: 1.7%. DDM cross-check: $5.96.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $14.00
Analyst Range $14.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 125%

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
The 1.7% yield is low for a real estate company — investors are paying up because they expect above-average growth.
Dividend-based valuation: $5.96 (81% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $14.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 125% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify