Vishay Precision Group, Inc. logo VPG - Vishay Precision Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $98.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 6.66%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 145.9% above fair value
Current Price $91.88
Bear Case $29.89 67.5% downside ($29.89 - $91.88) / $91.88 = -67.5% $1.48 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $37.36 59.3% downside ($37.36 - $91.88) / $91.88 = -59.3% $1.48 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $44.83 51.2% downside ($44.83 - $91.88) / $91.88 = -51.2% $1.48 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.48$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 62.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $98.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $37.36 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 270%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $98.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 77% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples