Vishay Precision Group, Inc. logo VPG - Vishay Precision Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $98.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 49.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 194.5% above fair value
Current Price $65.37
Bear Case $17.76 72.8% downside ($17.76 - $65.37) / $65.37 = -72.8% $1.48 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $22.20 66.0% downside ($22.20 - $65.37) / $65.37 = -66.0% $1.48 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $26.64 59.2% downside ($26.64 - $65.37) / $65.37 = -59.2% $1.48 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.48$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 44.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.48, the base-case value is $22.20 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $98.00
Analyst Range $98.00 – $98.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 77%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 270%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $98.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 77% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples