VOD - Vodafone Group Public Limited Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$20.93
DETAILS
HIGH:
$20.93
LOW:
$20.93
MEDIAN:
$20.93
CONSENSUS:
$20.93
UPSIDE:
31.88%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.5x
0.47$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
33.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.47, the base-case value is $10.61 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (25 analysts)
$20.93
Analyst Range
$20.93 – $20.93
Divergence from AlphaVal
49%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $20.93 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 49% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1227 USD per EUR.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples