Vontier Corporation logo VNT - Vontier Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $42.20 DETAILS
HIGH: $55.00
LOW: $36.00
MEDIAN: $40.00
CONSENSUS: $42.20
UPSIDE: 43.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 33.7% below fair value
Current Price $29.42
Bear Case $35.50 20.7% upside ($35.50 - $29.42) / $29.42 = 20.7% $2.99 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $44.37 50.8% upside ($44.37 - $29.42) / $29.42 = 50.8% $2.99 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $53.24 81.0% upside ($53.24 - $29.42) / $29.42 = 81.0% $2.99 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.99$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $42.20 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $44.37 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples