Vontier Corporation logo VNT - Vontier Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 4
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $38.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $43.00
LOW: $35.00
MEDIAN: $37.50
CONSENSUS: $38.25
UPSIDE: 16.76%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 20.9% below fair value
Current Price $32.76
Bear Case $33.12 1.1% upside ($33.12 - $32.76) / $32.76 = 1.1% $2.76 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $41.40 26.4% upside ($41.40 - $32.76) / $32.76 = 26.4% $2.76 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $49.68 51.6% upside ($49.68 - $32.76) / $32.76 = 51.6% $2.76 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
2.76$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.76, the base-case value is $41.40 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (13 analysts) $38.25
Analyst Range $35.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 8%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples