VNT - Vontier Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$38.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$43.00
LOW:
$35.00
MEDIAN:
$37.50
CONSENSUS:
$38.25
UPSIDE:
16.76%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
50% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.76$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
11.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.76, the base-case value is $41.40 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$38.25
Analyst Range
$35.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples