VNET - VNET Group, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$23.55
DETAILS
HIGH:
$23.55
LOW:
$23.55
MEDIAN:
$23.55
CONSENSUS:
$23.55
UPSIDE:
146.86%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
20.2x
0.1$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
98.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $23.55 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $7.36 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $23.55 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 92% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1472 USD per CNY.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples