VMRK - Vivmark Residential
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$71.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$79.00
LOW:
$66.00
MEDIAN:
$72.00
CONSENSUS:
$71.75
UPSIDE:
17.89%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Residential REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($5.72) × residential P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
10.6x
Plain-Language Summary
At $5.72 FFO/share with a 19x residential REIT multiple, the base-case value is $91.60 per share. Dividend yield: 4.6%. DDM cross-check: $51.92.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (46 analysts)
$71.75
Analyst Range
$66.00 – $79.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
28%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend-based valuation: $51.92 (43% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $71.75 (from 46 analysts). Our estimate is 28% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify