VMD - Viemed Healthcare, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$14.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$14.00
LOW:
$14.00
MEDIAN:
$14.00
CONSENSUS:
$14.00
UPSIDE:
59.82%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
15.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (16% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
43%
Implied Market Multiple
56.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
22.9%
vs our 15.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $5.01 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 61% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions