Viemed Healthcare, Inc. logo VMD - Viemed Healthcare, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.00
UPSIDE: 42.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 95.6% above fair value
Current Price $9.80
Bear Case $3.12 68.2% downside ($3.12 - $9.80) / $9.80 = -68.2% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $5.01 48.9% downside ($5.01 - $9.80) / $9.80 = -48.9% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $7.14 27.1% downside ($7.14 - $9.80) / $9.80 = -27.1% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (16% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 63.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 24.4% vs our 15.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 16% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $5.01 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 61% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions