Veralto Corporation logo VLTO - Veralto Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $106.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $113.00
LOW: $102.00
MEDIAN: $108.00
CONSENSUS: $106.71
UPSIDE: 15.11%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 35.3% above fair value
Current Price $92.70
Bear Case $54.81 40.9% downside ($54.81 - $92.70) / $92.70 = -40.9% $3.93 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $68.51 26.1% downside ($68.51 - $92.70) / $92.70 = -26.1% $3.93 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $82.22 11.3% downside ($82.22 - $92.70) / $92.70 = -11.3% $3.93 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 23.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $106.71 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $68.51 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $106.71 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples