Veralto Corporation logo VLTO - Veralto Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $106.14 DETAILS
HIGH: $113.00
LOW: $102.00
MEDIAN: $105.00
CONSENSUS: $106.14
UPSIDE: 22.28%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 26.9% above fair value
Current Price $86.80
Bear Case $54.72 37.0% downside ($54.72 - $86.80) / $86.80 = -37.0% $3.93 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $68.40 21.2% downside ($68.40 - $86.80) / $86.80 = -21.2% $3.93 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $82.08 5.4% downside ($82.08 - $86.80) / $86.80 = -5.4% $3.93 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $106.14 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $68.40 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $106.14 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 44% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples