Valero Energy Corporation logo VLO - Valero Energy Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $214.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $263.00
LOW: $178.00
MEDIAN: $209.00
CONSENSUS: $214.67
DOWNSIDE: 13.07%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 67.5 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B 69.4
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 15.9% 82/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.27 pp/yr 39/100
Contributes 10.4 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%
A+ 97.2
  • 5yr Avg ROE 22.3% 96/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -6.7% 100/100
Contributes 9.7 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%
C+ 59.0
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 1.9% 35/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 35.1% 100/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 2.9 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%
B- 62.2
  • 5yr FCF Margin 4.8% 49/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 2.12x 78/100
Contributes 15.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A- 84.0
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 1.04x 84/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 6.40x 71/100
  • Altman Z-Score 4.89 99/100
Contributes 21.0 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
D+ 39.9
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.82 7/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 8.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

4 of 5 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
4 -1
Avg Δ position
-7.9%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.