Virtu Financial, Inc. logo VIRT - Virtu Financial, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $63.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $57.00
MEDIAN: $63.00
CONSENSUS: $63.33
UPSIDE: 9.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.7% below fair value
Current Price $57.60
Bear Case $59.04 2.5% upside ($59.04 - $57.60) / $57.60 = 2.5% ROTCE 20.0% → 4.00x TBV
Fair Value $84.35 46.4% upside ($84.35 - $57.60) / $57.60 = 46.4% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $109.64 90.3% upside ($109.64 - $57.60) / $57.60 = 90.3% ROTCE 30.0% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

168.2%
7.5%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (168.2%) vs. cost of equity (7.5%)

Implied Market Multiple 18.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $63.33 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $84.35 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $63.33 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 41% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly