Viking Holdings Ltd logo VIK - Viking Holdings Ltd

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 2
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $93.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $109.00
LOW: $75.00
MEDIAN: $95.00
CONSENSUS: $93.00
UPSIDE: 10.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.4% below fair value
Current Price $84.23
Bear Case $57.67 31.5% downside ($57.67 - $84.23) / $84.23 = -31.5% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $107.11 27.2% upside ($107.11 - $84.23) / $84.23 = 27.2% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $168.81 100.4% upside ($168.81 - $84.23) / $84.23 = 100.4% 26% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 30.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $93.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $107.11 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions