VICR - Vicor Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$347.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$375.00
LOW:
$320.00
MEDIAN:
$347.50
CONSENSUS:
$347.50
UPSIDE:
67.36%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
23.5%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (23% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
44%
Implied Market Multiple
84.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
30.5%
vs our 23.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 23% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $127.79 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$347.50
Analyst Range
$320.00 – $375.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
63%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $347.50 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 63% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions