Village Farms International, Inc. logo VFF - Village Farms International, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.15 DETAILS
HIGH: $9.30
LOW: $3.00
MEDIAN: $6.15
CONSENSUS: $6.15
UPSIDE: 143.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 6.3% below fair value
Current Price $2.53
Bear Case $2.16 14.6% downside ($2.16 - $2.53) / $2.53 = -14.6% $0.27 × 8x P/E
Fair Value $2.70 6.7% upside ($2.70 - $2.53) / $2.53 = 6.7% $0.27 × 10x P/E
Bull Case $3.24 28.1% upside ($3.24 - $2.53) / $2.53 = 28.1% $0.27 × 12x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

10.0x
0.27$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (10x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 10x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.27, the base-case value is $2.70 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $6.15
Analyst Range $3.00 – $9.30
Divergence from AlphaVal 56%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $6.15 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples