Visteon Corporation logo VC - Visteon Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $125.13 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $125.50
CONSENSUS: $125.13
UPSIDE: 21.30%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 42.5% below fair value
Current Price $103.16
Bear Case $151.70 47.1% upside ($151.70 - $103.16) / $103.16 = 47.1% $7.54 × 22x P/E
Fair Value $179.28 73.8% upside ($179.28 - $103.16) / $103.16 = 73.8% $7.54 × 26x P/E
Bull Case $206.86 100.5% upside ($206.86 - $103.16) / $103.16 = 100.5% $7.54 × 30x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

26.2x
7.54$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (26x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $125.13 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $179.28 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $125.13 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 58% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples