Visteon Corporation logo VC - Visteon Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $121.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $119.00
CONSENSUS: $121.00
UPSIDE: 6.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 36.3% below fair value
Current Price $113.47
Bear Case $150.82 32.9% upside ($150.82 - $113.47) / $113.47 = 32.9% $7.54 × 22x P/E
Fair Value $178.25 57.1% upside ($178.25 - $113.47) / $113.47 = 57.1% $7.54 × 26x P/E
Bull Case $205.67 81.3% upside ($205.67 - $113.47) / $113.47 = 81.3% $7.54 × 30x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

26.2x
7.54$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (26x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $121.00 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $178.25 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $121.00 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 63% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples