Visteon Corporation logo VC - Visteon Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $125.86 DETAILS
HIGH: $135.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $130.00
CONSENSUS: $125.86
UPSIDE: 22.62%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.1% below fair value
Current Price $102.64
Bear Case $161.27 57.1% upside ($161.27 - $102.64) / $102.64 = 57.1% $7.28 × 22x P/E
Fair Value $190.60 85.7% upside ($190.60 - $102.64) / $102.64 = 85.7% $7.28 × 26x P/E
Bull Case $219.92 114.3% upside ($219.92 - $102.64) / $102.64 = 114.3% $7.28 × 30x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

26.2x
7.28$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (26x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 26x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.28, the base-case value is $190.60 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (23 analysts) $125.86
Analyst Range $115.00 – $135.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 51%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $125.86 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 51% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples