UniFirst Corporation logo UNF - UniFirst Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 5
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $202.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $206.00
LOW: $198.00
MEDIAN: $202.00
CONSENSUS: $202.00
DOWNSIDE: 23.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 82.0% above fair value
Current Price $265.47
Bear Case $123.55 53.5% downside ($123.55 - $265.47) / $265.47 = -53.5% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $145.89 45.0% downside ($145.89 - $265.47) / $265.47 = -45.0% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $165.66 37.6% downside ($165.66 - $265.47) / $265.47 = -37.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 33.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $202.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $145.89 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $202.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 35% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions