UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$226.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$310.00
LOW:
$190.00
MEDIAN:
$211.00
CONSENSUS:
$226.00
UPSIDE:
43.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.4x
23.19$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
6.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $226.00 from 43 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $317.17 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $226.00 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 58% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples