UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$193.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$290.00
LOW:
$166.00
MEDIAN:
$189.00
CONSENSUS:
$193.00
UPSIDE:
9.82%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.4x
23.1$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $23.10, the base-case value is $354.82 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (43 analysts)
$193.00
Analyst Range
$166.00 – $290.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
84%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $193.00 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 84% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples