Universal Health Services, Inc. logo UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 25
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $193.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $290.00
LOW: $166.00
MEDIAN: $189.00
CONSENSUS: $193.00
UPSIDE: 9.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 50.5% below fair value
Current Price $175.75
Bear Case $283.86 61.5% upside ($283.86 - $175.75) / $175.75 = 61.5% $23.10 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $354.82 101.9% upside ($354.82 - $175.75) / $175.75 = 101.9% $23.10 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $425.79 142.3% upside ($425.79 - $175.75) / $175.75 = 142.3% $23.10 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.4x
23.1$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $23.10, the base-case value is $354.82 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (43 analysts) $193.00
Analyst Range $166.00 – $290.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 84%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $193.00 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 84% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples