AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies U-Haul Holding Company as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag UHAL as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is U-Haul Holding Company's fair value?

Fair value for UHAL comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value UHAL?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. UHAL was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from UHAL's most recent reported fundamentals.

UHAL - U-Haul Holding Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $80.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 63.2% below fair value

Current Price $69.48

Bear Case $151.15 117.5% upside ($151.15 - $69.48) / $69.48 = 117.5% $12.60 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $188.94 171.9% upside ($188.94 - $69.48) / $69.48 = 171.9% $12.60 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $226.73 226.3% upside ($226.73 - $69.48) / $69.48 = 226.3% $12.60 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

12.6$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 5.5x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $12.60, the base-case value is $188.94 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 5148%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 833% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples