Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. logo TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $20.00
UPSIDE: 18.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 63.3% below fair value
Current Price $16.81
Bear Case $32.03 90.6% upside ($32.03 - $16.81) / $16.81 = 90.6% ROTCE 8.0% → 1.01x TBV
Fair Value $45.76 172.2% upside ($45.76 - $16.81) / $16.81 = 172.2% ROTCE 10.6% → 1.69x TBV
Bull Case $59.49 253.9% upside ($59.49 - $16.81) / $16.81 = 253.9% ROTCE 12.2% → 2.09x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.6%
7.9%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.6%) vs. cost of equity (7.9%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.99x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 10.6% vs. 7.9% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.69x on $16.92 tangible book, implying $45.76 per share. DDM cross-check: $38.10.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $20.00
Analyst Range $20.00 – $20.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 129%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $20.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 129% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly