Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc. logo TSLX - Sixth Street Specialty Lending, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $20.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $20.00
UPSIDE: 16.55%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 56.4% below fair value
Current Price $17.16
Bear Case $27.52 60.4% upside ($27.52 - $17.16) / $17.16 = 60.4% ROTCE 8.0% → 0.97x TBV
Fair Value $39.32 129.1% upside ($39.32 - $17.16) / $17.16 = 129.1% ROTCE 10.6% → 1.62x TBV
Bull Case $51.12 197.9% upside ($51.12 - $17.16) / $17.16 = 197.9% ROTCE 12.2% → 2.02x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.6%
8.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.6%) vs. cost of equity (8.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.01x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $20.00 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $39.32 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $20.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 129% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly