TRNO - Terreno Realty Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$73.91
DETAILS
HIGH:
$91.00
LOW:
$60.00
MEDIAN:
$72.00
CONSENSUS:
$73.91
UPSIDE:
12.43%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
28.6x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($4.93) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
13.3x
Plain-Language Summary
At $4.93 FFO/share with a 29x industrial REIT multiple, the base-case value is $141.13 per share. Dividend yield: 3.2%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (32 analysts)
$73.91
Analyst Range
$60.00 – $91.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
91%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $73.91 (from 32 analysts). Our estimate is 91% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify