TRMB - Trimble Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$73.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$61.00
MEDIAN:
$76.50
CONSENSUS:
$73.50
UPSIDE:
23.16%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.75$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
34.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.75, the base-case value is $26.25 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (28 analysts)
$73.50
Analyst Range
$61.00 – $80.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
64%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $73.50 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples