TRMB - Trimble Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$80.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$80.00
LOW:
$80.00
MEDIAN:
$80.00
CONSENSUS:
$80.00
UPSIDE:
51.46%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.08$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $80.00 from 28 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.40 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $80.00 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples