TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$133.25
DETAILS
HIGH:
$183.00
LOW:
$85.00
MEDIAN:
$132.50
CONSENSUS:
$133.25
UPSIDE:
39.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
4.89$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
19.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.89, the base-case value is $73.35 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$133.25
Analyst Range
$85.00 – $183.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
45%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 44%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 100% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $133.25 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 45% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples