Trex Company, Inc. logo TREX - Trex Company, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 8
HOLD 20
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $48.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $59.00
LOW: $36.00
MEDIAN: $48.00
CONSENSUS: $48.33
UPSIDE: 23.35%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B 69.5 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
B+ 77.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 16.6% 84/100
  • Operating Margin Trend +0.22 pp/yr 61/100
Contributes 11.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A 89.7
  • 5yr Avg ROE 19.6% 91/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -1.9% 87/100
Contributes 13.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
D- 27.4
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -0.5% 19/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -0.3% 19/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100
Contributes 2.7 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C- 50.0
  • 5yr FCF Margin 7.1% 59/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.41x 40/100
Contributes 7.5 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 94.6
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.70x 88/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 6.01 100/100
Contributes 23.6 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C 53.2
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.42 40/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100
Contributes 10.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Holding

3 of 4 gurus held; 1 added; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
3 -1
Avg Δ position
-1.5%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.